Showing posts with label Cyprus. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Cyprus. Show all posts

Tuesday, February 4, 2014

Minuscule Gagauzia Votes 99% to Declare Independence If Moldova Attempts Romanian Reunification


Ukrainians in their hundreds of thousands may be proclaiming loud and clear that they want closer ties with western Europe than with Russia, but in a nearby tiny sliver of the former Union of Soviet Socialist Republics, a small band of diaspora Turks are claiming nationhood and choosing Moscow over Brussels.


More than 70% of eligible voters in Gagauzia, an autonomous region within the Republic of Moldova (formerly the Moldavian Soviet Socialist Republic), turned out on February 2nd to answer a series questions about their tiny nation’s geopolitical future.

Welcome to Gagauzia
On the question of trade, 98.4% of voters in the region of 155,000 people said they wanted closer ties with the nascent Eurasian Union, a proposed bloc of Soviet successor states aligned with Moscow (probably to include Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, and Armenia at least; the first three have had a customs union since 2010).  97.2% of Gagauz said they were against any closer relationship with the European Union (E.U.).  Moldova, whose 3.5 million or so people are about 76% ethnic Romanian (Moldavia is one of the traditional three constituent portions of the Romanian nation, alongside Wallachia and Transylvania) and only about 6% ethnic Russian, is not a member of the E.U. but signed comprehensive trade agreements with the E.U. in November, including an Association Agreement, generally seen as the first step in the long path toward candidacy for membership.  Romania has been an E.U. member state since 2007.

A Romanian irredentist makes his (or her) point as well.
A third question on this week’s Gagauzian ballot asked whether Gagauz Yeri, the Autonomous Territorial Unit of Gagauzia, should declare independence in the event that Moldova and Romania attempted reunification.  98.9% said yes (following an official statement to the contrary by the Gagauz government back in 2012, as reported at the time in this blog).


Here she comes ... Miss Gagauzia ...
The Gagauz are pursuing all trappings of nationhood.
Independence may be a hard row to hoe for Gagauzia, which is a grapeshot of tiny discontinuous landlocked territories in southern Moldova totalling only about 700 square miles.  But there is a precedent.  Gagauzia and another, larger sliver of Moldova, running most of the length of Moldova’s official border with Ukraine, both declared independence in 1990 when the Soviet Union imploded.  Moldova soon wooed the Gagauz back into its politic by promising, and delivering, enhanced autonomy.  But the other sliver, called the Pridnestrovian Moldavian Republic, or Transnistria or Transdniestria for short, remains “independent” (see map above).  No country recognizes it, but because ethnic Russians and Ukrainians make up almost 60% of its population and Moldovans (i.e. Romanians) less than a third, it is maintained by Russia as a puppet state, struggling along only with cash infusions from the Kremlin.  It has no real hopes of becoming a successful, recognized state; it is being maintained, with its own currency and security provided by Russia’s 14th Army.  (See an article from this blog on Transnistria.)  Russia’s president, Vladimir Putin, keeps it running mainly to make a point, and to preserve Moscow’s last foothold in the Balkans.  With Ukraine threatening to turn sharply West, Transnistria would be even more isolated.  (It also has said it wants to join the Eurasian Union.)

Moldovan and Gagauz flags often fly side by side.
Moldovan and Transnistrian ones, never.
For the past nearly quarter-century of post-Communist history, the otherwise logical good idea of Romanian and Moldovan reunification has been put seemingly permanently on the back burner, since that would involve deciding the fate of Transnistria.  Right now, Moldova claims Transnistria but allows it its de facto independence.  That careful fiction would have to be replaced with something else.  There was already a war when Transnistria secured its independence-such-as-it-is.  No one wants another one.  Romania is also in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO).  Allowing a territory occupied by Russian troops to become E.U. territory would be unthinkable.  The E.U. already regrets admitting Cyprus, the northern third of which is a de facto independent puppet state of Turkey called the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus.  Plus, Putin is too pig-headed to be at all interested in a negotiated military pullback from Transnistria, certainly not while he’s fighting like hell to keep Ukraine in his orbit.

Gagauzia’s unofficial, and far superior, flag
Therefore, because Romania and Moldova are to all practical purposes unable to reunify, the Gagauz referendum question on independence is moot, until and unless there are drastic changes in the geopolitics of the immediate neighborhood.  But the ongoing Ukraine crisis might lead to just that.  Either way, the Gagauz have made their point.  They don’t feel very Moldovan and are just waiting for their chance to bolt.  Moldova had early said that the Gagauz referendum was illegal.  That they held it at all indicates they are already feeling pretty independent.


[For those who are wondering, yes, this blog is tied in with a forthcoming book, a sort of encyclopedic atlas to be published by Auslander and Fox under the title Let’s Split! A Complete Guide to Separatist Movements, Independence Struggles, Breakaway Republics, Rebel Provinces, Pseudostates, Puppet States, Tribal Fiefdoms, Micronations, and Do-It-Yourself Countries, from Chiapas to Chechnya and Tibet to Texas.  Look for it some time in 2014.  I will be keeping readers posted of further publication news.]

Saturday, November 17, 2012

Kosovo Recognized by Timor-Leste, K.L.A. War-Crimes Arrests, an E.U. Ultimatum, and Hashim Thaçi’s Underground Sex Slaves: Kosovo Update, 11-17 November 2012



European Parliament Says Serbia Cannot Join without Recognizing Kosovo.  The European Parliament’s rapporteur for Kosovo, Ulrike Lunacek, said this week that the Republic of Serbia will not be allowed to join the European Union (E.U.) unless it grants diplomatic recognition to the Republic of Kosovo, the de facto independent state which most E.U. member states recognize but which Serbia still regards as part of its territory.  She did not express the ultimatum as a punishment for Serbia, saying, “The E.U. will not allow another Cyprus in the E.U.  The E.U. will not accept any country without defined borders.”  Lunacek, who represents Austria in the E.P. for the Green Party, also ruled out any partition of Kosovo.

Timor-Leste Becomes 94th Nation to Recognize Kosovo.  The partially recognized Republic of Kosovo received notice this week from one of the world’s youngest United Nations (U.N.) member states, the Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste, that it will be extending diplomatic recognition to Kosovo.  Timor-Leste (also known as East Timor), which became independent in 2002 after a U.N.-sponsored plebiscite end military occupation by Indonesia, is, at my count, the 94th nation, out of about 193 recognized sovereign states, to recognize Kosovo, following Papua New Guinea and the Republic of Burundi in October (as reported last month in this blog, at which point I also discussed some discrepancies over how to count Kosovo’s diplomatic partners).

Timor-Leste, a.k.a. East Timor, is Kosovo’s newest diplomatic partner.
E.U. Arrests 3 Former Kosovo Rebels on War-Crimes Charges.  Three former members of the Kosovo Liberation Army (K.L.A.), two of them currently serving in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization’s Kosovo Security Force (K.S.F.), were arrested this week by European Union (E.U.) police on war-crimes charges.  Reports indicate that the murder of two ethnic-Albanian supporters of the moderate politician Ibrahim Rugova in 1999.  The arrests were made by the E.U. Rule of Law Mission in Kosovo (Eulex).

E.U. Lays Corruption Charges against 7 Kosovars, Including Former Transport Minister.  The European Union Rule of Law Mission in Kosovo (Eulex) announced November 16th it had charged the Republic of Kosovo’s former minister of transport and communications and six other Kosovar Albanians with corruption.  The former minister, Fatmir Limaj, is the second-in-command in the Democratic Party (P.D.K.), Kosovo’s ruling party.  Charges against the seven include “manipulating tender procedures, giving and receiving bribes, and obstructing evidence.”

Fatmir Limaj
Slav Media Run Lurid Tales of Kosovo Prime Minister’s Underground Harem.  The organ-harvesting allegations (a hospital in the Netherlands was tapped by Interpol this week to investigate accusations of organ-trafficking by Kosovo rebels in the 1990s) don’t seem to be enough.  Several newspapers in the Balkans this week are running reports on interviews with a woman from Ukraine identified only as “N.M.” who describes escaping from what she calls an underground “hell hole” in which the prime minister of the Republic of KosovoHashim Thaçi, operates a “harem” with 52 sex slaves.  “None of the girls were from Kosovo,” N.M. said; “there were few from the Balkans, about ten from Russia, one from Cameroon, two Chinese women, etc.”  Many of the men who visit the harem for “orgies” “are foreign diplomats,” she said, “including officers from Eulex and KFOR.  The girls are not allowed to say, ‘No.’  One of the girls called Dolores from Colombia protested the conditions during our lunch time in the cafeteria.  She was shot dead by Thaci’s bodyguards.”  N.M. says she escaped with the assistance of a bodyguard from Chechnya, whom she had to bribe with sexual favors.  That’s all pretty good, but the lack of any reference to the ceremonial drinking of the blood of Serbian babies represents a disappointing decline in the literary quality of Serbian propaganda.


2 Serbs Ambushed in Kosovo; Grenade Attack on Serb Apartment Building.  Two Serbs were ambushed in their car in a village in western Kosovo’s Istok municipality on November 10th by an unknown gunman in a balaclava.  One of the two men, Momir Pantić, a former local police chief, was wounded in the arm and face.  Pantić owns land on Osojane, a Serb enclave in Istok, which is outside the Serb-governed North Kosovo territory along the republic’s border with the Republic of Serbia.  He said he had been followed all that day by unknown persons.  The mayor of Kosovoska Mitrovica, North Kosovo’s de facto capital, called Pantić an internally displaced person and said that the ambush was evidence that Serbs are not safe in Kosovo.  In the evening of the next day, November 11th, a hand grenade went off in front of a Serb-populated apartment building in Kosovska Mitrovica, which caused damage to the building and nearby vehicles but no injuries.


[Also, for those who are wondering, yes, this blog is tied in with a forthcoming book, a sort of encyclopedic atlas to be published by Auslander and Fox under the title Let’s Split! A Complete Guide to Separatist Movements, Independence Struggles, Breakaway Republics, Rebel Provinces, Pseudostates, Puppet States, Tribal Fiefdoms, Micronations, and Do-It-Yourself Countries, from Chiapas to Chechnya and Tibet to Texas.  Look for it in spring 2013.  I will be keeping readers posted of further publication news.]

Tuesday, April 24, 2012

The Armenian Genocide Debate: Turkey, Nagorno-Karabakh, and the Politics of Memory

Lebanese Armenians demonstrating in Beirut today

Today (April 24th), symbolically at least, is the 97th anniversary of the beginning of the Ottoman Empire’s genocidal campaign against its Armenian population, a campaign later continued by the empire’s successor, the Republic of Turkey.  Out of a population of 2 million or so, only a few hundred thousand survived, scattered to the ends of the earth.  I say symbolically because, although April 24, 1915, is the date when Ottoman authorities began rounding up Armenian intellectuals as the first stage of the massacres, Turkish persecution of Armenians had already been a long-standing pattern.

Whether to call it a genocide is an emotionally charged and polarizing issue in international geopolitics. It doesn’t need to be.  It manages to be so because the Turkish government and military (to the extent that one wants to distinguish between the two) and Turkey’s nationalist intelligentsia continue to deny that the murder of a million and a half (at least) men, women, and children and the destruction of 3,000 churches (Armenia was the only major Christian nation under the Ottomans’ Muslim domination) was anything other than the, as we would now call it, “collateral damage” in the messy conflicts that took Turkey from the end of the First World War to the establishment of Kemal Atatürk’s republic.

This jingoistic pig-headedness would not matter if it were not for Turkey’s strategic position.  During the Cold War, Turkey was (not counting Norway’s slim frontier above the Arctic Circle) the only North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) country bordering the Soviet Union.  Culturally, it sits on the boundary between Christendom and Islam, between Europe and Asia.  Its massive military guards the entrance to the Black Sea, looks over the shores of the Holy Land, controls much of the shipping and the flow of oil and natural gas between the Middle East and Europe, and is the only stable democratic major Muslim country in the developed world.  During the Cold War it made a lot of sense for the U.S. and western Europe to do whatever Turkey asked.  Let them invade half of Cyprus?  Sure, no problem.  Treat millions of Kurds like second-class citizens, and bomb their villages and repress their language and culture?  Whatever.

With the end of the Cold War, Turkey tried to reposition itself as still useful to the West, opening up its military bases to the United States and its western European allies in 1990 for the United Nations–sanctioned war to liberate Kuwait from an Iraqi invasion.  But two things have turned the tide against Turkey’s centrality since then: the 2003 U.S. war on Iraq and the Arab Spring.

First, the Arab Spring of 2011-12 has eroded Turkey’s distinction as leader of the democratic Muslim world.  Now Egypt and Tunisia are fledgling democracies, Jordan and Morocco have been pressured to liberalize, Iraq had already been dragged bloodily into the democratic world, even Libya has elections scheduled, while Syria and Yemen may even be fully democratic before long.  Although Islamism is making inroads in some of these areas after the revolutions, the West, if it plays its cards right, could have a whole host of friendly regimes to work with all over the Middle East.  And not all of them will be as grumpy and difficult as the Turkish government usually is.  Moreover, this year Arab Spring–style street politics has begun to make an appearance in Turkey’s large Kurdish communities in a big way (see my recent blog article on the Kurdish Spring).  Ankara has not yet figured out how to respond to this, and it is intersecting messily with Syria’s ongoing civil war, where Kurds are participants with shifting alliances (see my recent blog article on these dynamics).  Turkey is now at serious risk of looking unambiguously like one of the Bad Guys in the movement for democracy in the region, no matter how strongly it sides against Syria.  (See my blog article on prospects for the partition of Syria.)

Secondly, earlier, in the Iraq War, the U.S. occupied and established a long-term military presence in Iraq and replaced Saddam Hussein with a democratic (more or less) government that includes an autonomous Kurdish quasi-state in the north.  The U.S. treats Iraqi Kurdistan in most respects like an independent state, and Turkey fears it is potentially sympathetic to Turkey’s deeply popular but brutally repressed Kurdish separatists just over the border and their armed resistance.  Because of the Kurdish entity, which came into existence gradually in the decade between the two Iraq wars under U.S. nurturing, and for other reasons, Turkey was not so accommodating to the U.S.-and-allied military during that second Gulf War.  Then, as Israel and the U.S. (NATO, not so enthusiastically) have swiveled their gunsights over to Iran as the next great Satan to be defeated, Turkey, though it borders Iran, is not really needed at all anymore.  Iraqi Kurdistan and the former Soviet republic of Azerbaijan are the new staging grounds for U.S. and Israeli cold war and covert ops against Iran.  For Turkey, this stings: Azerbaijan, a fellow Sunni Muslim and Turkic-speaking nation, did not turn out to be as staunch a Turkish ally as was hoped, and now Azerbaijan’s new B.F.F.s seem to be Israel and America.

With Azerbaijan and the South Caucasus, that brings us back to question of the Armenian and Kurdish pogroms, since the tangle of South Caucasus politics is largely responsible for Turkey’s increasing alienation from the West and the desperate sharpening of the rhetoric over nearly-century-old massacres.

Whether to side with Armenians or with Turks in the question of recognizing the genocide had already long been a political football, but new ethnic conflicts in the South Caucasus have made it a proxy discussion for the question of who will control the strategic borderlands between Europe and Asia.  South Caucasus geopolitics since the fall of Communism in 1989-91 remained, and remains, polarized, like a messy loose end of the Cold War, but newly oriented, with Russia, Iran, AbkhaziaSouth Ossetia (more on them below), and Armenia on one side and Turkey, Azerbaijan, Georgia, the U.S., and Israel on the other.  This first became clear with respect to the dispute over Nagorno-Karabakh, the swath of Azerbaijan that Armenia rolled into after Communism fell.  Having written off predominantly-Christian Georgia as a new close ally of the U.S. and Azerbaijan as a natural extension of Turkish influence, the newly independent post-Soviet Russia tried to court Armenia as the one of the new three South Caucasus states that it could bring into its political orbit.  Armenia is one of only two former Soviet republics west of the Urals still friendly to Russia; the economic and political basket case that is Belarus is the other.  Russia actively backed the Armenian invasion of Nagorno-Karabakh (an Armenian-populated chunk of Azerbaijan that Vladimir Lenin promised to transfer to the Armenian Soviet Socialist Republic after Red armies retook the briefly independent South Caucasus states in the 1920s, though he never got around to it).


Armenia and Russia, in the bloody struggle for that small patch of territory, labored mightily to keep Turkey from being drawn into the battle; nor did Turkey want to get involved particularly.  NATO, in fact, probably took a strong hand in preventing Turkey from sending troops in to defend Nagorno-Karabakh from Armenia.  If that had happened, then the first bullet fired by an Armenian soldier into Turkish territory would, by treaty, have required fellow NATO member states to side with Turkey against, essentially, Russia.  No one (except Azerbaijan) wanted that.  That left Azerbaijan feeling a bit abandoned.

But in Turkey, where anti-Armenian bigotry runs deep, emotional and rhetorical support for Azerbaijan’s plight is official policy.  Earlier this year, Turkey and Azerbaijan and their diaspora pressure groups launched a laughable international effort to attach the label of “genocide” to the 1992 Khojaly massacre, in which Russian and Armenian irregulars killed about 600 Azeri civilians in Nagorno-Karabakh region.  Now, for those 600 and their loved ones, there is no minimizing the tragedy, nor should there be.  It is not the massacre—which, like any, deserves to be remembered and learned from—which is laughable.  Rather, the vastness and intensity of the Khojaly memorial campaign is comically—or infuriatingly, take your pick—out of proportion to the long litany of heinous slaughter that was the twentieth century.  And, really, the Turkish government has a lot of chutzpah to push this issue with a straight face while simultaneously sweeping literally millions of Armenian and Kurdish corpses riddled with Turkish bullets under the rug.  At the 20th anniversary of Khojaly massacre, in February of this year, “genocide” memorial rallies in Istanbul (as reported in this blog) quite predictably devolved into anti-Armenian hate rallies, with Turks holding signs reading, “Don’t Believe Armenian Lies,” and, “You Are All Armenians, You Are All Bastards.”  When it comes to the whole “never again” lesson to be drawn from genocide memorials, Turkish nationalists are very, very unclear on the concept.

Anti-Armenian demonstrators in Istanbul marking the Khojaly massacre

But it is not just Nagorno-Karabakh that has been dragged into the politicization of Armenian history.  Just this past week, members of the Russian Federation’s large Armenian diaspora who have ancestry in the Republic of Georgia’s Javakhk region urged the Georgian government to recognize the Armenian genocide.  Some background: Armenians in Javakhk itself have recently been pushing for an autonomous region in the Javakheti half of Georgia’s Samtskhe–Javakheti province, on the Armenian border.  Armenia—which got majorly shafted after the First World War when Woodrow Wilson’s promise, in the Treaty of Sèvres, of a large independent Armenian homeland was preempted by the abovementioned genocides and Atatürk’s souped-up jingoism—has lost most of its original territory and so takes little chunks where it can.  But if it was ever possible to cajole Georgia’s president, Mikheil Saakashvili, to recognize the Armenian genocide, the request from the Javakhki diaspora pretty much makes sure he never will.  Saakashvili is ardently anti-separatist.  He crushed a rebellion in Georgia’s autonomous region of Ajaria early on in his presidency and started the fight with Russia in 2008 that gave his country a bloody nose over South Ossetia and Abkhazia, Georgian possessions which are now de facto independent client states of the Russian Federation.

The position of Javakhk in an historical (and, for some, future envisioned) “Greater Armenia”

So the large bite Armenia took out of Azerbaijani territory in Nagorno-Karabakh—they took all the land in between as well, and set it up as a de facto independent client state recognized only by Armenia—fits well with the tactics Russia has employed in wrenching Abkhazia and South Ossetia away from Georgia.  Armenia and Russia, with their massively differently scaled but similarly motivated irredentist agendas, make natural allies.  Georgia and Azerbaijan, by contrast, can now position themselves as Western-leaning countries that oppose separatist movements incited by foreign bullies like Russia and Armenia.  (Azerbaijani nationalists used to covet the Azeri-dominated regions of neighboring Iran, wanting to make them part of a “Greater Azerbaijan,” but that idea is much less popular now that the urgency of the Nagorno-Karabakh issue makes that kind of irredentism look hypocritical.)


That all makes it difficult for Turkey to champion, even rhetorically, Azerbaijan’s right to its territorial integrity.  Never mind the swallowing up of half of Armenia and the denial of the Kurdish nation’s rights and identity: Turkey simply pretends those things never happened and aren’t happening.  I mean Turkey’s illegal and internationally unrecognized and condemned occupation of the northern third of the island of Cyprus via the puppet state of the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus.  The Cypriot issue is becoming more and more of a stumbling block now that the rest of Cyprus—which continues to claim the whole island—is in the European Union (a club, incidentally, that Turkey is more or less barred from joining because of its medieval human-rights record).  (See my recent blog article on Northern Cyprus.)

What the Treaty of Sèvres envisioned for Armenia and Kurdistan

So Turkey has of late begun trying to establish some diplomatic relations with Iraqi Kurdistan (figuring it might need a northern pipeline to bring its oil to market if it ever has a messy divorce with the central government in Baghdad) (see my blog article on prospects for the partition of Iraq)—and if you think being nice to Kurds shows Turkey is getting desperate, Ankara is even trying to build diplomatic bridges to Iran as a way of extending some influence in the region.  Turkey’s increasing diplomatic isolation and what the swivel-eyed, foam-flecked hyper-nationalists that run the country nowadays will do to vent their aggressions as this trend continues may turn out to be one of the major subplots of Middle Eastern geopolitics over the next few decades.  A big part of why it is happening is the way it has mishandled the game of managing and responding to separatist crises.

Today, only 21 out of 193 countries recognize the Armenian genocide as a genocide, including, however, major countries like Russia, France, Canada, and the Netherlands.  Lebanon is the only predominantly Muslim country to do so.  If Israel—which was founded with the idea that it would be the world’s conscience on such questions—joined that club, it would be a public-relations coup, but it is not likely any time soon.  Genocide, needless to say, is something which Israelis tend to set a rather high bar for.  A less kind way to put that would be to point out that for many Israelis the uniqueness of the Jewish Holocaust is a core rationale for the exceptionalist (“we can do whatever we want”) attitude which prevails in modern Israeli foreign policy.  But by no means are all Israelis united on this issue.  Here, for example, is a courageous opinion piece in the Jerusalem Post on this question.  A whole lot more Israelis than Turks “get” the central universal, humanitarian lesson of the Holocaust.

Meanwhile, the vast and powerful Armenian lobby in the United States—California alone has more Armenians than Armenia itself—has once again failed to mobilize their elected representatives sufficiently to press the White House to call what happened to Armenians in the 1910s and 1920s a genocide.  One elected representative who used to favor such a designation was a young senator from Illinois named Barack Obama, and he had the Armenian vote in his presidential run in 2008 all sewn up on the strength of a campaign promise to call genocide genocide.  But power changes people, doesn’t it?  Obama’s fourth Armenian Remembrance Day address today again skipped the G-word, for the fourth time in a row.

If Obama wins a second term, we can only hope he will fulfill that promise, and that that—or some other crisis or wake-up call—might prompt the current regime in Turkey to either make way for a more tolerant and progressive strain of Turkish civil society to begin repairing its relationships with its neighbors, or—sadly, perhaps more likely—continue to alienate its former friends and marginalize itself, so that at least the rest of the region can move forward anyway to heal the wounds of history and honor the dead.  Right now, unfortunately, the world’s major powers are tackling this question with the granular geopolitics of Middle Eastern and Caucasus politics in mind.  In three years will be the centennial of the Armenian genocide.  That would be a good time for most of the world to come around to calling it what it was.

[You can read more about Nagorno-Karabakh and other separatist and new-nation movements, both famous and obscure, in my new book, a sort of encyclopedic atlas just published by Litwin Books under the title Let’s Split! A Complete Guide to Separatist Movements and Aspirant Nations, from Abkhazia to Zanzibar.  The book, which contains 46 maps and 554 flags (or, more accurately, 554 flag images), is available for order now on Amazon.  Meanwhile, please “like” the book (even if you haven’t read it yet) on Facebook and see this special announcement for more information on the book.]

Tuesday, April 17, 2012

Why It Matters What You Call Your Country: Cyprus vs. Northern Cyprus, Azawad vs. THE Azawad

Last month in this space I reported on the Alice in Wonderland world of Balkan politics in an article titled “Balkan Semantics: How Kosovo Dropped Two Words and Serbia Gained Europe”—describing how an agreement to let the Republic of Serbia’s diplomats refer to the Republic of Kosovo as simply Kosovo, without the words Republic and of, was sufficient to clear a decade-old political logjam over the status of the secessionist province sufficiently to smooth the way for Serbia’s eventual admission to the European Union (E.U.).  But, although southeastern Europe provides some of the more colorful examples of onomastic pettiness in international diplomacy (cf. Macedonia, Former Yugoslav Republic of), there are many parts of the world where it genuinely matters what a country is called, even, or especially, down to the little words.

In July of last year (2011), Sudan was partitioned and, after a protracted search for a name for the newly born southern state, colorful names like Jubaland and Azania were rejected in favor of the more dour and familiar Republic of South Sudan—a name which, if one thinks about it, sort of makes it sound as though the new country formed by the south’s secession is indeed simply a subsection of the very country (the Republic of Sudan) the separatists spent decades of war and spilt millions of gallons blood to separate from.  Shortly afterwards, the government in what was left of the Republic of Sudan, no longer saddled with a large non-Muslim population, let its hair down and further tarnished its own brand in Western eyes by renaming its ruling party Hezbollah, using the same name as the Iranian-sponsored jihadist terrorist organization based in southern Lebanon.  If all of that doesn’t sound a bit Balkan, I don’t know what does.

The flag of the Republic of South Sudan, being waved on their independence day last year

More recently, media are reporting this week that the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, a Turkish Republic puppet state which administers the northern third of the island of Cyprus, will drop the word Northern from its name unless the decades-old conflict over the partition of Cyprus is not resolved by July 1st.  That is the date when the Republic of Cyprus, the ethnically-Greek-dominated southern two-thirds of the island, takes over the rotating presidency of the E.U.  The whole island of Cyprus was a colony of the United Kingdom from the First World War till the 1950s, when, just as other British possessions in the region were easing toward independence, an organization called the National Organisation of Cypriot Fighters, or EOKA, representing the ethnically Greek majority on the island, began pushing for enosis, or union, with Greece.  Instead, in 1960, an independent Republic of Cyprus was established, with constitutional protections for the 18% Turkish minority in the north of the island.  But this was not enough for the Turkish government (see a recent blog article of mine outlining the number that Turkish nationalists pulled on the State of Hatay in the 1930s): in 1974, the Turkish military, taking advantage of a coup d’état in Cyprus’s capital, Nicosia, invaded the island and established the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, a puppet state which not even Turkey itself will take the formal step of recognizing.  (Northern Cyprus, as it tends to be called for short, is recognized, among sovereign states, only by the largely unrecognized Russian puppet states of Abkhazia and South Ossetia.)  For decades the U.K., and now the United Nations, have had to maintain a continuous peacekeeping presence just to keep Greece and Turkey from all-out war.  This stalemate is a surprisingly enduring one. It survives Turkey and Greece’s shared membership in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, and the European Union even managed to ignore—when it admitted Cyprus as a member state in 2004 and even let it join the Euro Zone—that it did not even administer all of its territory.  (It’s also, like nearly all of Turkey, in Asia, not Europe, but never mind that.)

A Turkish map of the island of Cyprus

Northern Cyprus’s threatened name change would partially correct an onomastic imbalance, whereby the name Republic of Cyprus implies a claim over the entire island—and indeed the E.U. and most of the rest of the world asserts that the Republic of Cyprus is the legitimate government of the entire island.  Presumably, the new name would constitute a more aggressive stance by implying a claim over the entire island.  However, it’s not clear that the E.U. will either mind or notice.  Turkey is threatening to take its ball and go stwaight home, but no one seems interested in playing its game anyway.

Other possibilities for a new name are being floated by Northern Cyprus’s president, Dr. Derviş Eroğlu, including Northern Cyprus Turkish State and Northern Turkish State (which would make it sound like it’s on the Black Sea, but never mind).  Not mentioned was Turkish Cypriot State, a name first floated in 2004 by Kofi Annan, at the time the U.N.’s Secretary-General, as part of his never-adopted Cyprus Plan.  It envisioned a United Cyprus Republic consisting of a Turkish Cypriot State and a Greek Cypriot State, very much along the lines of the 1995 Dayton Accords which nominally united a Republic of Bosnia and Herzegovina consisting of two mostly sovereign entities called the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina (governed by Croats and Bosniaks) and Republika Srpska (governed by Serbs).  Turkish Cypriot State is also the name under which Northern Cyprus sits as a member state in the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (O.I.C.)—it having been upgraded from observer status after Cyprus’s accession to the E.U., in 2004.  That wording seemed to suit the O.I.C. as sufficiently vague on the question of its level of independence.  Once again, as with Kosovo, the words Republic of seem to scare people.  (Other entities with O.I.C. observer status include Bosnia and Herzegovina, the Russian Federation, the Central African Republic, the Kingdom of Thailand, and the Moro National Liberation Front (whose inclusion prevents the Philippines from becoming a member state, or even observer).)

Flag of the Organization for Islamic Cooperation

Northern Cyprus’s geopolitical position and its level of diplomatic recognition is also a unique situation in the shadow world of pseudo-states.  Aside from Turkey itself (and, please, skip this paragraph if you’re not interested in a digression on the relationship between Caucasian and Cypriot geopolitics), only one entity (that I know of) recognizes Northern Cyprus as sovereign: the Autonomous Republic of Nakhchivan (a.k.a. Nakhichevan), which is today part of the Republic of Azerbaijan but had a brief flirtation with independence just after the fall of Communism.  In fact, it has the distinction of being the first territory to secede from the Soviet Union, beating Lithuania’s declaration of independence in 1990 by a matter of some days.  Oddly enough, Azerbaijan itself—which is Turkey’s geographically closest fellow Turkic-speaking nation—has never recognized Northern Cyprus.  This is mostly, of course, because of Nagorno-Karabakh, the unrecognized but self-governing Armenian puppet state which was carved out of Azerbaijan’s western flank by a bloody war in the early 1990s.  Nagorno-Karabakh is the one issue on which all Azerbaijani foreign policy pivots.  Pan-Turkic solidarity does not trump it, and Turkey’s aggression in Cyprus too much resembles Armenia’s in Nagorno-Karabakh for Azeris to be able to stomach recognizing Northern Cyprus; it would also open them up to charges of hypocrisy by Armenia and by the United States’ Armenia lobby.  Nakhchivan is another matter, however: an exclave of Azerbaijan, cut off from the rest of the country by Armenia’s southern arm, Nakhchivan was economically choked by Armenia during the Nagorno-Karabakh fighting that began even before the Soviet Union dissolved.  The Turkish government threatened to declare war on Armenia if it tried to occupy Nakhchivan the way it had Nagorno-Karabakh.  This, more than anything else, kept Nakhchivan out of the war.  Currently it remains under Azeri control, and no longer claims independence (Turkey is tacitly ensuring its safety), though a portion at the far north has remained under Armenia’s control.  So Nakhchivan needs Turkey, though Azerbaijan has reasons to feel betrayed by Turkey’s unwillingness to engage in all-out war to keep Nagorno-Karabakh out of Armenian hands.)

The official seal of the City of Nakhchivan, in the Autonomous Republic of Nakhchivan.
Yes, that’s Noah’s Ark.

But the flap over Northern Cyprus’s name is not the only naming muddle in recent news.  The other happened with much less fanfare.  The world’s newest country—and one unlikely ever to be internationally recognized in its current form—the Independent State of Azawad, declared its independence from the Republic of Mali on April 6th, but at the time it did so as the Islamic Republic of Azawad.  That turned out to be a mistake, since the state had been declared by Tuareg militias left over from Libya’s civil war, but largely with the help of the firepower of an al-Qaeda-affiliated Islamist militia called Ansar Dine.  This was not supposed to be noticed, but it became the one fact that nearly every major foreign ministry mentioned prominently in explaining why it would not dream of recognizing Azawad as sovereign.  The words Islamic Republic of were giving Azawadis a branding problem.  So they quietly became the Independent State of Azawad.  Dropping the word Islamic would keep the West from getting nervous, and dropping Republic of—as Northern Cyprus and Kosovo have learned—helps take the edge off of a declaration of independence when it comes to international diplomacy.  But it was too late.  I will be surprised if the international community allows Azawad to survive for even a year.

In early reports in this blog on the Azawad rebellion, I referred to the country as the Islamic Republic of Azawad, even after the name change, since it had happened so quietly. Also, in early blog postings, I called it the Islamic Republic of the Azawad.  Most English-language media now seem to be saying just Azawad, not the Azawad.  The question is in one sense moot, since in French, the former colonial language of Mali, still used as a language of administration, the country is called l’État Indépendant de l’Azawad.  In French (as in many other continental European languages), all countries are given a definite article—some masculine, some feminine.  So why were some sources translating—and why are some still translating—this into English as the Azawad?  No one says the Germany or the France, after all.  Well, there is a practice, in African countries, of sometimes using the definite article, in English, before the main name of the country.  The Republic of Sudan used to be called the Republic of the Sudan, and the Republic of the Gambia, still uses its the, to say nothing of the misnamed Democratic Republic of the Congo, not to be confused with the Republic of the Congo.  In the case of Gambia and Congo, these are rivers, and that follows the common practice of calling rivers in English the (So-and-So) River.  (Think also of the Confederation of the Rhine etc.)  Gambia, then, describes not the land territory but, more properly, the river around which the republic is oriented.  (This approach is helpful in post-colonial Africa, where several ethnic groups often share one “nation”; geographical features are more neutral than ethnonyms.)  You can also see this pattern in places like the Yukon Territory and the Klondike region—districts overtly associated with their primary rivers and oriented around them in a way that places like Mississippi, Missouri, and Ohio (note, the State of Mississippi, not the State of the Mississippi, etc.)—whose eponymous rivers they merely border, sometimes only glancingly, rather than being formed more recently all around them—are not.  The Sudan, on the other hand, like the Sahel and the Azawad, was a geographical descriptor long before it was a country name.  The Sudan was the area of the southern Sahara called, by Arabs, “the land of the blacks”—straight across the continent, west to east, not at all restricted to what is now Sudan and South Sudan.  In fact, South Sudan is not really part of the Sudan at all—yet another reason it is, if I may be so blunt, a stupid name for their country.  The phrase the Azawagh—which inspired the name of the new Independent State of (the) Azawad—refers to a dry basin in the western Saharan and Sahelian regions, defined originally geographically and not just in its current usage as the places where Tuaregs live, in Mali, Algeria, Burkina Faso, and Niger.


Of other countries that use the before their chief name (I’m not counting places which feature a the merely by virtue of being prefixed with the Kingdom of or the Republic of), at least one, the Kingdom of the Netherlands, retains it because the name means literally the lowlands (hence, the Low Countries, which also technically include Belgium and Luxembourg); it is a transparent geographical descripter like the Sahel.  (The Dutch have also given the English language definite-article-laden geographically-descriptive toponyms like the Hagueden Haag or ’s-Gravenhage, literally “the count’s wood”—and the Bronx, named for the Bronx River which was in turn named for the 17th-century Dutch-American settler Jonas Bronck. Why we don’t say the Brooklyn (from the Dutch for “the broken-up land”) or the Flatbush (from de vlacke bos) is a question I leave to the philologists.)

But most “the” countries are island chains, such as the Republic of the Philippines and the Republic of the Marshall Islands (one could also add St. Vincent and the Grenadines).  The Seychelles and the Maldives, however, have dropped their definite articles and are now the Republic of Seychelles and the Republic of Maldives.  In the case of the Seychelles, I can conjecture that this is because the republic’s main language is a French-based creole language called Seychellois, which lacks a definite article.  Actually, Seychellois has vestiges of the French definite article but not as a morpheme, only as some variation on the l sound absorbed into the beginning of the word.  So lezyel is the Seychellois word for “sky,” based on French le ciel, but it is a single word meaning simply “sky.”  “The islands” is lezil, from French les îles.  (This process can be found in other French creoles, which is why the Louisiana folk music called zydeco derives from saying les haricots—the beans—in a Southern U.S. accent.  The “L” section in French creole dictionaries tend to be half the book.)  So the name for the Republic of the Seychelles in Seychellois is Ripiblik Sesel, not the Ripiblik Sesel or le Ripiblik Sesel.  I’m not sure why it isn’t Liripiblik Sesel, though.  Hence, the Republic of Seychelles.

The coat of arms of the Republic of Seychelles

Similarly, Slavic languages tend to lack articles (as can be noticed in the mistakes made by English-speakers whose first language is Russian), so one would think it would be no difference whether the country which calls itself Ukrayina is referred to in English as the Ukraine or as Ukraine.  But to Ukrainians it matters a lot, which is why the people that consented through the years of Soviet rule to being called, in English, the Ukraine, asked the world to call them simply Ukraine.  (Also, it is simply Ukraine, not the Republic of Ukraine—though it is a republic—which makes the lack of a definite article harder to notice at first on official insignia.)  But why?  Well, partly it is because Ukraine derives from an old word meaning “borderlands,” which implies, if not outright states, that the country is in fact just the fringe or edge of the more important and central land of Russia.  (Some Ukrainian nationalists have tried to concoct alternative etymologies, but I leave negotiating such controversies to the Slavicists.)  In English, putting in the the emphasizes the noun-ness and thing-ness of the name and not its arbitrary designation as a proper name.  The the reminds goads people into asking “the borderlands of what?”, so it was dropped.

The flag of the Ukraine—oops, I mean, Ukraine.

Interestingly, a cognate word in Serbian provides the name for the Serbian Republic of Krajina (Republika Srpska Krajina), which existed as a de facto self-governing puppet state of the Republic of Serbia, consisting of those parts of Croatia, mostly in eastern Slavonia and along the rim of Bosnia, under the control of Serb militias during the Bosnian and Croatian wars in the early 1990s.  It was just as often referred to in English as the Krajina.  But then again, the Krajina, unlike Ukraine, never minded being the borderland; its ultimate goal was always reunification with Serbia.

The Azawadis will have time to think about these precedents and decide whether the way the Tuaregs’ Tamashek language is translated into Arabic and French and how that comes across in English either recommends or does not recommend retaining the in its name.  As of this writing, Mauritania, Burkina Faso, Côte d’Ivoire, and other neighbors are contemplating a joint invasion to return to the region to Malian rule.  So they’d better figure it out fast.

[Also, for those who are wondering, yes, this blog is tied in with a forthcoming book, a sort of encyclopedic atlas to be published by Auslander and Fox under the title Let’s Split! A Complete Guide to Separatist Movements, Independence Struggles, Breakaway Republics, Rebel Provinces, Pseudostates, Puppet States, Tribal Fiefdoms, Micronations, and Do-It-Yourself Countries, from Chiapas to Chechnya and Tibet to Texas.  Look for it in spring 2013.  I will be keeping readers posted of further publication news.]

Saturday, February 25, 2012

Caucasus Presidents Attacked, Darfur Erupts, Trailer Park Mata Hari, Newt on the Moon: The Week in Separatist News, Feb. 19-25, 2012

AFRICA


Somaliland Brings Independence Message to London Conference.  The president of the Republic of SomalilandH. E. Ahmed Mahmoud Silanyomade his case in the United Kingdom on Feb. 23rd for international recognition of his country’s independence from the Republic of Somalia.  His attendance at the 23rd international conference on Somalia at Lancaster House near Buckingham Palace in London marks the first time delegates from Somaliland and the Horn of Africa’s other de facto independent unrecognized state, Puntland (which, unlike Somaliland, does not seek outright independence), have attended the annual conference, which tends to focus on how to bolster the failed transitional government in Mogadishu.  The U.K.’s prime minister, David Cameron, said at the opening of the talks that the focus would be strengthening the barely-functioning Transitional Federal Government in Mogadishu and in combatting piracy and terrorism, but he declined an opportunity to speak against Somaliland’s sovereignty.  Meanwhile, Godfrey Bloom, a Member of European Parliament for Yorkshire on the anti-Brussels, right-wing U.K. Independence Party ticket, called on Cameron to recognize Somaliland.  No United Nations member states formally recognize Somaliland or Puntland.  (See a spot-on New York Times opinion piece on the subject by Alex de Waal of the World Peace Foundation.)

David Cameron at the Somalia conference in London

Mali Elections a Go Despite Uprising.  The president of Mali, Amadou Toumani Toure, has said that the national elections planned for April 29th will go ahead, despite the Tuareg separatist uprising in the country’s northern Azawad region.  “We are already used to holding elections during war,” he said.  The United Nations says at least 60,000 people have been displaced in the recent fighting.  (See my recent blog post on the new Malian civil war.)

South Sudan Asks Kenya to Mediate Border Dispute.  The government of the seven-month old Republic of South Sudan has asked the leadership of Kenya to mediate a dispute with the Republic of Sudan—from which South Sudan seceded in July 2011—over the disputed district of Abyei and provinces of Blue Nile and South Kordofan, which together stretch out along more than half of their shared border.  When South Sudan voted to secede in early 2011, separate referenda were to be held later in the disputed areas, but fighting there between forces loyal to the two governments has made that impossible.  Many fear the Sudans are on the brink of all-out war.  (Read here and here recent reports by the New York Times columnist Nicholas Kristof from the Nuba Mountains in South Kordofan.)

Rebels Attack in Darfur.  In the Darfur region in the western part of (north) Sudan, both rebels and the government are reporting on a new clash, where as many as twelve soldiers were killed and government heavy weapons were captured.  The attack, on the town of Alawni, was claimed by the Darfur-based Sudan Liberation Army.  In 2003-04, a Darfur uprising was brutally put down by the Sudanese government, killing as many as 300,000, resulting in the convicion of the Sudanese president, Omar al-Bashir, for crimes against humanity.


Trial of Caprivi Strip Separatists in Namibia Nears End.  In Grootfontein, Namibia, the prosecution rested today in a trial of 112 separatists that has been going on since 2003.  The accusations include 275 charges of murder, sedition, and treason.  In 1999, members of the Caprivi Liberation Army attacked civilian targets in Katima Mulilo, in the Caprivi Strip, killing eleven.  Their ringleader, Mishake Muyongo, is in exile in Denmark.  The Caprivi Strip, also called Itenge, is a shard of the Republic of Namibia which juts east between Botswana and Zambia and is home to the Lozi ethnic group that also inhabits the neighboring Zambian secessionist region of Barotseland. Germany bought the land from the United Kingdom in 1890 to form a supply route between the German colonies of Südwest-Afrika (now Namibia) and Tanganyika (now part of Tanzania).  South Africa assumed control of the strip after Germany’s defeat in the First World War and used it to run guns to white Rhodesian militants resisting Zimbabwe’s independence in the 1970s.  As a reward, South Africa, which administered Namibia, made it a Lozi “homeland” (autonomous tribal reservation), but when Namibia became independent in 1990, they revoked the autonomous status of the “traitor” region.  Meanwhile, four ethnic groups in Namibia—the Ovahimba, Ovatwa, Ovatjimba, and Ovazemba—have banded together to protest the building of a dam in the Kunene region.

The Caprivi Strip

EUROPE


Latvian Voters Reject Russian Language.  Latvians—and minority citizens in Latviavoted in a national referendum Feb. 18th to reject the idea of making Russian a second official language alongside Latvian.  The votes were approximately 75% against the proposal and 25% for it.  Latvia has just over 2 million people, and a third of them—about 600,000—is ethnically Russian.  This makes Russians in Latvia one of the largest linguistic minorities in the world, proportionally speaking, and the highest percentage of Russians in any Soviet successor state outside the Russian Federation itself.  Still, 750,000 votes were needed to pass the proposal, so no one expected anything other than a resounding “no” at the polls.  A spokesman for the Russian foreign ministry in Moscow said that the results showed that a quarter of Latvia’s population “do not agree with the course of building a mono-ethnic society.”   (I discussed the referendum in detail in a blog article last week.)

A defaced sign in Latvia

Serbs in Prague March against Kosovo.  In Prague, capital of the Czech Republic, the organization Friends of Serbs in Kosovo rallied and marched to protest the 1999 secession, under United States and North Atlantic Treaty Organization protection, of Kosovo from what is now the Republic of Serbia.  A Feb. 14-15 referendum in which Serbs in Kosovo’s border area rejected Kosovar authority over them (discussed by me in a recent blog post) revived the divisive issue in Serbian communities.  Jaroslav Foldyna, a Social Democratic Czech politician of Serbian descent, likened Kosovo’s secession to Nazi Germany’s annexation of Czechoslovakia’s Sudetenland in 1938.  Both leading candidates to become the next Czech prime minister support Kosovo’s independence, but it is opposed by both Social Democrats and the current president, Václav Klaus.  Eighty-eight nations recognize Kosovo, but China and Russia stand in the way of its admission to the United Nations.  Meanwhile, Serbian and Kosovar representatives began meeting on Feb. 21st under European Union auspices to try to settle differences—a precondition for Serbia’s application for E.U. membership.  So far they have agreed only on how to refer to Kosovo on nameplates placed before delegates at such meetings, which is being hailed as a great leap forward in reconciliation.

Spain Arrests Two Basques.  Spanish authorities on Feb. 21st arrested two militants from the banned Basque separatist organization E.T.A., using information passed along by judicial authorities in France.  E.T.A. laid down its arms in October 2011 after a decades-long struggle to establish an independent homeland in the Basque Country of northern Spain and southeastern France.

The flag of the Basque Country

Murdoch Backs Independent Scotland.  The corrupt and embattled media tycoon Rupert Murdoch announced on Twitter on Feb. 21st that he supports Scottish Independence. “Let Scotland go and compete. Everyone would win,” he tweeted, while in London to promote the launch of his tabloid Sun on Sunday. He had earlier called Scotland’s separatist First Minister, Alex Salmond, the most brilliant politician in the United Kingdom.  (See my recent blog article on Scottish independence.)

More Dead in North Caucasus Militia Battles.  Russian forces trying to wipe out militant gangs in a days-long quasi-military operation in the separatist, predominantly-Muslim northern Caucasus mountains are reporting more deaths, including those of seventeen policemen.  The skirmishes are occurring along the mountainous border dividing the Republic of Chechnya—the formerly autonomous region now being ruled directly from Moscow after brutal suppression of an independence movement—from the Republic of Dagestan, a multi-ethnic, warlord-ruled no-man’s-land where the government of the Russian Federation is barely able to operate.


BITS OF ASIA WHICH LIKE TO PRETEND THEY’RE PART OF EUROPE


Abkhaz President Escapes Assassination Attempt.  The president of Abkhazia, Alexandr Ankvab, survived a sixth assassination attempt on Feb. 22nd when his motorcade hit a land mine and then was attacked with a grenade-launcher and a machine gun.  One or two of his bodyguards were killed (reports differ) and another injured in the ambush, in the town of Gudauta, on the Black Sea.  Ankvab’s spokesman said that police were still searching for the assassins—the republic has been sealed off—but rejected the idea that the Republic of Georgia, which claims the de facto independent republic as part of its territory, was responsible.  Meanwhile, Nugzar Tsiklauri, a legislator for Georgia’s ruling party, suspects Russia of being behind the attacks, pointing out that Ankvab bristles at Russia’s implicit policy of eventually absorbing Abkhazia into the Russian Federation.  Ankvab himself the next day blamed “mafia, criminal groups” and “political circles close” to these groups, adding, “There are forces, which want Abkhazia to have controllable President and weak-willed, dependent supreme leadership.”

Pres. Alexandr Ankvab, in front of his nation’s flag

South Ossetia Sealed Off; Hospitalized President Boycotting Election.  The Internet has been extinguished throughout South Ossetia as public anger crests over the police beating earlier this month of the pseudo-state’s de facto but disputed president, Alla Dzhioyeva.  Soldiers with AK-47s are turning away anyone other than family trying to visit the 62-year-old Dzhioyeva’s intensive-care hospital room in the capital, Tskhinvali, and relatives are guarding her hospital bed in shifts, fearing an abduction.  Dzhioyeva also says she is boycotting next month’s presidential elections as a sham.  Meanwhile, mysterious elements to the Dzhioyeva story are confounding observers: journalists began being turned away from the border before the alleged beating, and on the day of the incident Russia’s Ministry for Emergency Situations announced that snowslides had forced the closure of the tunnel that is the one link between South Ossetia and the outside world.  Late last year, Dzhioyeva won a presidential election (see my blog article on those elections), but the results were annulled by a judge.  However, she continued to serve in her post until the beating.  Forces loyal to Russia, or the military of Russia itself, are obvious suspects in all this intrigue; Dzhioyeva is not pro-Moscow and was never expected to win.  The official line from Moscow is that she was hospitalized for hypertension, but she has reiterated her version of events to several journalists over the phone.  As she described it recently, “The militants tore my body apart, threw me on the floor.  I felt their guns sticking into my body the moment before I lost consciousness.  They acted as if they were my [executioners].”  The Daily Beast, in a report on the situation, quotes an historian, Fatima Margiyeva, as saying, “By stealing the very last right our people had, the right to vote, by isolating us here like cucumbers in a bottle, Moscow is pushing South Ossetia to the verge of a civil war.”


Caucasus Diplomat Accuses West of “Blackmail” over Recognition.  A member of Abkhazia’s diplomatic corps has told the media that “the West” routinely puts pressure on countries to discourage them from granting diplomatic recognition of Abkhazia and South Ossetia.  In particular, the ambassador, Juris Gulbis, said that countries like NauruTuvalu, and Vanuatu pay a price in economic sanctions and denial of development projects for being among the few nations recognizing the two South Caucasus republics, which were fully separated from the Republic of Georgia by Russia’s military in a brief 2008 war.  Gulbis called this Western tactic “blackmail.”  Pravda, also is reporting on the financial payoffs from Moscow that prompted the Republic of Kiribati to recognize Abkhazia.  Kiribati is a mini-state composed of 32 tiny atolls spread out over more than a million square miles of the Pacific in Micronesia.

Abkhazia Home to Record-Breaking Cave Insect.  Also in Abkhazia, Russian scientists are reporting their discovery, in a cave considered the world’s deepest (more than 7,000 feet / 2,000 meters deep), a species of eyeless springtail insect which is believed to be the deepest-dwelling land animal known to science.  The creature, Plutomurus ortobalaganensis, found in the Krubera–Voronja Cave, feeds on decomposing organic matter.  The tiny mountain republic also holds putative world records for human longevity.

Abkhazia’s newest celebrity, Plutomurus ortobalaganensis

English M.E.P. Fumes over Northern Cyprus’s Anti-Gay Laws.  A Member of European Parliament for the United Kingdom has pressed the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus to repeal its laws against homosexual acts.  The M.E.P., Marina Yannakoudakis, cited a recent case of two men, one a citizen of Nigeria, arrested in the Turkish-ruled half of Cyprus’s divided capital city, Nicosia, for sexual acts “against the order of nature.”  Yannakoudakis, an Englishwoman married to a Greek-born U.K. citizen, is a member of the European Union legislature’s diplomatic “contact group” with Northern Cyprus.  She has received personal assurances from the Northern Cypriot president, Derviş Eroğlu, that the ban would be repealed, but it has not yet happened.  The Republic of Cyprus was admitted to the E.U. in 2004, but the northern third-or-so of the island has been administered since a 1974 war by the de facto independent Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, a client state of the Republic of Turkey.  Yannakoudakis has referred to Northern Cyprus as the last place in Europe where it is illegal to be gay—though of course the island is geographically part of Asia, being just offshore of Turkey, the land-mass for which the name Asia was in fact first used (but don’t get me started on that).

Hearings Open in North Cypriot Soldier’s Torture Death.  On Feb. 17th a military court in the unrecognized Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus convened a third inquiry into the death of a soldier, Uğur Kantar, who was apparently tortured to death amidst disciplinary action taken by the military.  The judge turned down a request from the Kantar family’s lawyer to shift the hearings to a civilian court.  The only officer among the defendants, Sgt. Ayhan Şentürk, was never arrested but appeared in court on opening day.


15,000 Kurds March in Strasbourg for Öcalan’s Rights.   A crowd of Kurds and their supporters estimated at 15,000 demonstrated in Strasbourg, France, home to the European Parliament, to protest the ongoing imprisonment in Turkey of the Kurdish leader Abdullah Öcalan, founder of the militant separatist Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK).  Fearing that Öcalan was being poisoned, the demonstrators demanded that Öcalan be given a medical examination, in conformity with international norms.  Eighteen Kurds have been on hunger strike for 32 days in Strasbourg in support of the cause.  Öcalan founded the PKK, which in 1984 launched a war to establish an independent Kurdistan in what is now southeastern Turkey.  In 1999 he was captured in Kenya, where he was being harbored by the Greek consul.  He was initially sentenced to death, but in 2002 Turkey abolished the death penalty as part of its bid to reform their abysmal third-world-calibre justice system and become a candidate for membership in the European Union.  In 2005, the European Court of Justice found that the defendant’s rights had not been observed and urged that Öcalan be retried—an idea Turkey rejects.  Öcalan now resides in the notorious prison on the island of İmralı in the Sea of Marmara, the gulf that separates the European from the Asian part of Turkey. (The prison was once home to the American writer Billy Hayes, whose brutal treatment in Turkey’s prison system was described in his book—later a film—Midnight Express.)  (I listed Kurdistan in a recent blog post as one of “Ten Separatist Movements to Watch in 2012.”)

Zhirinovsky Sees Looming World War Focused on Caucasus.  The neo-fascist hypernationalist firebrand and head of Russia’s misnamed Liberal Democratic Party, Vladimir Zhirinovsky, predicts that the escalating Western rhetoric against Iran over its nuclear program presages a coming world war, one in which the micro-geopolitics of the southern Caucasus will figure.  “The third world war over Iran may start this summer,” Zhirinovsky said.  “After Syria is rolled over, Iran will be attacked.  Azerbaijan will use [the opportunity] to seize Nagorno–Karabakh.  Armenia will oppose, Turkey will support Azerbaijan.  It is how Russia may be involved in war this summer.”  Russia has tended to side with Armenia, Syria, and Iran in the post-Communist period.

Vladimir Zhirinovsky

Shots Fired across Nagorno-Karabakh Border.  Media in Armenia are reporting that during the week of Feb. 12th to 18th, Azerbaijan’s military violated a cease-fire 250 times by firing rounds across its border with the de facto independent ethnic-Armenian enclave of the Nagorno-Karabakh Republic.  The Armenian report adds, “NKR forces refrained from retaliatory measures.”  Meanwhile, the United States secretary of state, Hillary Rodham Clinton, reiterated her support for resolving the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict through the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (even though the conflict is taking place just over the Caucasus ridge in Asia—but don’t get me started).

ASIA

English Baroness Escapes Separatist Attack in Yemen “Election” Violence.  An alliance of clans and militias pressing for the reestablishment of a separate state in southern Yemen called for its followers to disrupt this week’s sham presidential “elections,” in which only one candidate was on offer.  The Higher Council of the Peaceful Movement for the Liberation of the South, as it is known, asked for “civil disobedience” to prevent “voters” from casting “ballots.”  But not all separatists kept it civil.  On Feb. 18th, secessionist gunmen injured two policemen during an attack on a “polling station” in Aden, the former South Yemeni capital.  And on “election” day, Feb. 21st, similar attacks in the south killed four and injured nineteen.  One of the Aden attacks narrowly avoided killing a British life peeress and former Member of European Parliament visiting to observe the “elections”—the Baroness Nicholson of Winterbourne, a gin-distillery heiress and Liberal Democrat (who had also, ironically, survived an Irish Republican Army bombing attempt on Margaret Thatcher’s life in Brighton, England, in 1984—back when Lady Nicholson was a Conservative).  Yemen’s Higher Council opposed the Feb. 21st “vote” because it did not provide an opportunity for southerners to decide whether to stay in Yemen.  In fact, it did not allow “voters” to choose anything: there was only one presidential candidate on the “ballot” (hence all the scare quotes): Abdu Rabu Mansour Hadi, vice-president to the outgoing authoritarian leader, Ali Abdullah Saleh, who eventually relented to a months-long Arab Spring street movement to unseat him.  To no one’s surprise, Hadi received 99.8% of votes cast.  The entire transfer of power was orchestrated in a United States–backed agreement to end the country’s civil war, which it probably still will not do.  The elections were also being boycotted by Shabab al-Mu’mineen, a militant group representing Yemen’s minority Zaidiyyah Shiites, who would like to impose Islamic law in the country.  (I listed South Yemen in a recent blog post as one of “Ten Separatist Movements to Watch in 2012.”)

Baroness Nicholson of Winterbourne, survivor of two ethnonationalist bombings

Pakistan Accuses U.S. of Stoking Baloch Rebellion.  The prime minister of PakistanYusuf Raza Gilanihas condemned a recent resolution in the United States House of Representatives in support of Baloch self-determination as an attack on Pakistan’s sovereignty.  It comes after a year of lethal U.S. drone attacks and a unilateral U.S. raid last year to kill Osama bin Laden in Pakistani territory.  The U.S. has traditionally supported any government in power in Pakistan, for reasons of stability and nuclear security, but after ongoing revelations of the role of Pakistan’s secret police in supporting terrorism, as well as other divisive issues, U.S. foreign policy is turning away from Pakistan.  Separatists in the southwestern Pakistani province of Balochistan have stepped up activities in recent months, and the Pakistani government has cracked down brutally, with hundreds of activists “disappeared.”  Some U.S. policymakers’ shifts may be related to another Baloch insurgency just over the border in Iran.  Many observers predict a coming war by the U.S. and Israel against Iran, and there has already been documented C.I.A. and Mossad support for separatists in southwestern Iran’s Arab Sunni Khuzestan region, bordering Iraq.  (I listed Balochistan in a recent blog post as one of “Ten Separatist Movements to Watch in 2012.”)

Malaysia Backs Thailand against Rebels; 4 Killed.  The prime minister of Malaysia, Datuk Seri Najib Razak, pledged to the visiting Thai prime minister, Yingluck Shinawatra, her cooperation with Thai effort to suppress separatism in southern Thailand, by the Malaysian border.  But on Feb. 21st, Thai forces killed three insurgents from the Runda Kumpulan Kecil (R.K.K.) militia in the separatist Pattani region, and a fourth, a member of the dormant Pattani United Liberation Organisation (PULO), was found murdered, probably killed by R.K.K. forces. The Pattani region in southern Thailand is predominantly Muslim and ethnically Malay in a mostly Buddhist nation.  Yingluck’s older brother, the former prime minister, Thaksin Shinawatra, tried in 2005 to put down a rebellion there by imposing emergency powers on the country, a decision which eventually led to his downfall.  In the wake also of a foiled Iranian assassination plot against Israeli diplomats in Bangkok, both Thailand and Malaysia now preach “moderation” instead of “extremism,” embodied in Najib’s new Global Movement of Moderates initiative.

U.S. Backs Accountability for Sri Lankan War.  Human-rights groups welcomed the United States government’s support for a coming resolution in the United Nations Human Rights Council that will push both the government of Sri Lanka and Tamil separatists to come to a final settlement, including agreeing on how war crimes on both sides will be accounted for.  A U.S. Under-Secretary of State, Maria Otero, stated the U.S. position in a press conference in Colombo, Sri Lanka, at the end of a three-day visit to the Buddhist-majority island nation, where the government succeeded in 2009 in putting down a separatist rebellion by nationalist Tamils after a bloody fifteen-year-long civil war.  Tamils, who are mostly Hindu, hoped to establish a separate state in the north of the island, to be called Tamil Eelam.


Filipino Muslim Separatists Deny Role in Prison Break.  A representative of the Moro Islamic Liberation Front, a group fighting for a separate Muslim state in the southern Philippines, has denied involvement in a recent failed prison break attempt.  The prison, in Kidapawan in Cotabato province on the island of Mindanao, was attacked by fifty militants on Feb. 19th.  Prison guards repelled the attack, but not before the militants, armed with rocket-propelled grenades, killed two civilians in a karaoke bar and a third, a Red Cross driver, in the mêlée.

India Orders Crackdown on Bodoland Rebels, Claims International Maoist Conspiracy.  The Republic of India’s Minister for Home Affairs, P. Chindabaram, has directed the state government of Assam, in the country’s tribal-dominated far east, to intensify its operations against rebel factions that are still refusing to hold talks after the general cease-fire agreed to last year by separatist militias.  In particular, New Delhi is concerned about the National Democratic Front of Bodoland, a group representing the separatist faction of an ethnic group making up about 5% of Assam’s population.  In October 2011, the Indian government signed a treaty with the United Liberation Front of Asom, an umbrella group seeking independence for the state, agreeing to an end to hostility.  But not all separatist groups support the document.  Now Chindabaram’s ministry claims to have evidence of a vast conspiracy to set up a Maoist confederation of tribal peoples taking in separatist movements in India, Burma, and Bangladesh.  Meanwhile, in New Delhi, four members of the banned and mostly dormant Sikh separatist group Babbar Khalsa International were sentenced to time served on Feb. 22nd after pleading guilty to a 2008 plot to attack religious figures in Punjab.

The flag of Bodoland

Xi Seeks Turkey’s Reassurance on Uighurs.  On a state visit to Istanbul on Feb. 21st, the Chinese government’s rising star, Vice-President Xi Jinping, pleaded with the government of Turkey to refrain from supporting separatists in western China seeking to establish an independent East Turkestan.  The Turkish prime minister, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, reiterated his country’s commitment to China’s integrity and recognition of the People’s Republic of China as the sole legitimate Chinese government.  In the past decade, there has been increasing violence in China’s far west as members of the predominantly-Muslim Uighur minority seek more autonomy and, even, independence.  Although Uighurs, like other Central Asian nationalities (Azeris, Uzbeks, Kazakhs, etc.), speak a Turkic language related to Turkish, the Turkish government has never supported pan-Turkic irredentism or Uighur separatism.

Burmese Refugee Camp in Thailand Burns.  Initial reports describe a fire sweeping through a refugee camp in Thailand near the border with Burma (Myanmar) on Feb. 23rd.  The Umpiem Mai refugee camp is home to about 17,000 members of the Karen ethnic minority seeking refuge from fighting between Myanmar’s junta and Karen rebels seeking an independent homeland to be called Kawthoolei.  Arson is not suspected.  (See my recent blog article on ethnic separatism in Burma.)

NORTH AMERICA

Ex-Stripper “Trailer Park Mata Hari” Shook Booty to Snare White-Power Bombers.  Just before the federal terrorism trial of Dennis and Daniel Mahon, two 61-year-old White-supremacist identical twins, was handed to the jury for a verdict, their lawyers were decrying as entrapment the methods of the federal informant who snared them.  Dubbed by the media the “Trailer Park Mata Hari,” Rebecca “Becca” Williams is an ex-stripper who worked for the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms for five years (for $45,000 per year, plus promise of a $100,000 conviction bonus) by moving into the Mahons’ Catossa, Oklahoma, campground, bonding with them by using racial slurs and White-separatist rhetoric, and flirting with them by, for example, sending them photos of herself from behind in a bikini bottom with a Confederate-flag design, as well as other photos showing her posing with pick-up trucks and swastikas.  The Mahons, members of the White Aryan Resistance, were tried for sending a near-fatal package bomb to the African-American diversity director for the city of Scottsdale, Arizona, in 2004.  The federal prosecutor in the case points out that Williams never actually resorted to sexual acts to extract information.  In the verdict Feb. 25th, Dennis Mahon was found guilty and Daniel not guilty.  Dennis has yet to be sentenced.

Your tax dollars at work

Parti Québécois Surges as Election Looms.  In Quebec, the separatist Parti Québécois has gained nine percentage points in popularity since last month, according to a new poll, and is now more popular than the province’s ruling Liberal Party, which polls only 29% to the P.Q.’s 30%.  Quebec’s Liberal premier, Jean Charest, is allowed another year before calling an election, but he may choose an earlier date to avoid an ongoing corruption investigation into his awarding of defense contracts.  In 1995, the P.Q. held a referendum on independence from Canada, which lost by a narrow margin.

New York’s Iroquois Tribes Profit from Tobacco Loophole.  The New York Times is reporting that the Oneida Indian Nation, along with others of the eight federally recognized American Indian tribes in upper New York State, has increased its investment in the tobacco trade, despite controversy, including manufacturing its own cigarettes using tobacco shipped from the Carolinas.  This exploits a loophole in a law, only inadequatelly enforced, which prevents tribes from selling name-brand cigarettes to non-Indians on reservation land without charging New York’s exorbitant $4.35-per-pack sin tax on the product.  The Oneida are one of six members of the centuries-old Haudenosaunee, or League of the Iroquois, who interacted with arriving Europeans in the colonial period as a sovereign confederation that even partly inspired the United States federal system of government.  They are still recognized as a sovereign nation within U.S. territory and issue their own driver’s licenses and even passports.

Flag of the Iroquois Confederacy

SOUTH AMERICA

Remote Chilean Town Begs to Be Annexed to Argentina.  Citizens of Puerto Aysén, in the isolated, glacier-pocked mountains of southern Chile’s Patagonia region, added a new demand to their month-old campaign to attract more assistance from the federal government.  Now they say they want neighboring Argentina to annex their district.  Marchers, including students, environmentalists, and trade unions, chanted, “Argentina adopt us!” and lit bonfires.  The rhetorical ploy attracted more attention in Buenos Aires, Argentina’s capital than in Santiago, 800 miles to the north.  Argentine news websites featured references to Chileans as “dirty traitors” and remarks such as, “Why don’t you ask England to adopt you?  They are your best friends and allies!” Chile has maintained the closest ties to the United Kingdom of any South American nation amid rival Argentine and British claims to the Falkland Islands.  During the Falklands War of 1982, Chile’s dictator, Augusto Pinochet, a personal friend of Margaret Thatcher’s, sided with the U.K.


Ecuadorian Calls for Decolonization.  The United Nations’ newly seated chairman of the Select Committee on Decolonization, Diego Morejón Pazmino, who is from Ecuador, has called for the “final disappearance of the archaic concept of colonialism.”  He listed sixteen remaining “non-self-governing territories,” with a combined population of over 2 million.  The list includes ten overseas territories of the United Kingdom (Anguilla, Bermuda, the British Virgin Islands, the Cayman Islands, the Falkland Islands, St. Helena, the Turks and Caicos Islands, Gibraltar, Pitcairn, and Tokelau), three United States ones (the U.S. Virgin Islands, American Samoa, and Guam), two belonging to France (New Caledonia and Montserrat), and Western Sahara, the former Spanish Sahara, which is currently divided between a majority of the territory ruled by the Kingdom of Morocco and a landlocked sliver administered as the unrecognized Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic.

PRACTICALLY BLOODY ANTARCTICA


Argentines May Court Scottish Nationalists on Falklands Issue.  The government of Argentina is considering seeking support for their claims on the Falkland Islands from a possible eventual independent Scotland.  Argentina has few military or diplomatic options in pressing its goal of wresting the archipelago, which it calls the Islas Malvinas, from the United Kingdom, which has administered it for virtually its entire history of permanent settlement.  But Argentina’s president, Cristina Fernández de Kirchner, says she is “analyzing the possibility of sending a delegation” to the government of Alex Salmond, Scotland’s separatist First Minister.  The idea seems doomed: although both Scots and Argentines have railed lately against “English colonialism,” there is no reason to think there is any more sympathy in Scotland than in England for Argentina’s position.  Argentina attacked the Falklands in 1982 and was easily defeated by the U.K. in the brief war that followed.  Meanwhile, Buenos Aires’s claims on the Falklands is being criticized by an ad hoc alliance of Argentina’s leading intellectuals.  (See my recent blog article on the Falklands dispute.)

In other Falklands-related developments, the American actor Sean Penn is still a moron and has as of press time not yet been fed to crocodiles.

Sean Penn, still a moron

OUTER SPACE

Gingrich Proposes Making Moon 51st State.  The former Speaker of the United States House of Representatives, Newt Gingrich, promised while campaigning in the Florida Republican primary that by the end of his second term as President there would be an American colony on the Moon.  He also promised regular flights to Mars by 2020.  Further, Gingrich reminded the crowd in Coco Beach, Florida (setting for the 1960s television situation comedy I Dream of Jeannie), that while he was a U.S. representative he sponsored a bill allowing any lunar colony with a population of 13,000 or more to apply for statehood.  (The U.S., however, is signatory to international agreements barring the claiming of national territory on other planets or moons.)  Gingrich relished accusations that he is “grandiose,” adding, “I accept the charge that I am American and Americans are instinctively grandiose because we believe in a bigger future.”  At other times, Gingrich has proposed that public schools hire children as janitors and that a giant mirror be placed in Earth orbit to light highways and catch criminals.


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